Obama’s approval numbers will not likely endure any significant longstanding improvement, regardless of how far he tries to swing to the center. Most economists would agree that the economy and debt crisis will never heal in time to save him on those bases alone. Barring an FDR-style massive military engagement that psychologically galvanizes the country, little else would save the imperiled President from being a single-term one, and he knows it. The Clintons know it as well. Republicans will admonish his policy, and neither the Clintons nor any other career-minded Democrats will step in to save him. The cheese stands alone.
Hillary Clinton narrowly lost to Obama before most moderate Democrats knew how he would rule. Now they certainly know. They have a basis for comparison which makes Clinton seem far more diplomatic, far more experienced, and thus far more presidential. Clinton also has no blood on her hands from health care reform and its controversy. She has been silent. Her powder is completely dry, while Obama has accumulated massive political debt to fringe progressives.
Another very important factor is just how much Republicans generally dislike Obama. Roughly 19 states (of which Montana is not genuinely one) have open, nonpartisan presidential primary elections. If you don’t think that the Clinton machine (and possibly even some Republican groups) wouldn’t pull a political coup d’etat on Obama in the Democrat primary, you are gravely mistaken. This will certainly mean a tougher general election challenge for the Republican nominee, and a possible Clinton overall victory – but most people do generally tend to be short-sighted. But as they also say, “Better the devil you know,” which is, for most Americans, paradoxically, Hillary Clinton; not Barack Obama.
It is not exactly a secret the neither Bill nor Hillary Clinton like Obama. They are also far more powerful and have even farther reaching connections into the Democrat base. Obama was a far-left anomaly who won his primary largely due to young, first-time registrant hype and a looming fear of a female President. Now they’re hungry, they’re mad, and they’re still out of work. The kegs are dry and the balloons are shriveled on the ground. You can only throw a promise party once, especially when you don’t deliver.
Hey, call me Miss Cleo if you want, but my prediction is this: Hillary Clinton will gracefully exit her Secretary of State post stage left sometime between April and August of this year (depending on how she wants to play it) and gracefully reemerge stage right. She can closely match the fundraising abilities of the wet-behind-the-ears freshman senator come President from Illinois, but it won’t be required. Many sitting Democrats will rally behind the moderate Hillary Clinton in an effort to save their own careers, and Barack Hussein Obama will join every non-Clinton Democrat since FDR in the cul-de-sac of one-term executives.