Hillarysworld

Alaska Senate seat - Miller may win afterall, per Public Policy Poll

Sunday, October 31, 2010

Miller leads in Alaska

Joe Miller is favored heading into the final two days of the US Senate campaign in Alaska. 37% of voters say they'll pick him while 30% plan to vote for Scott McAdams and another 30% plan to write in Lisa Murkowski.

Miller is winning despite having the worst personal favorability numbers of the three candidates. Only 36% have a positive opinion of him while 59% view him in a negative light. McAdams is by far the most popular with 50% rating him favorably to only 30% with an unfavorable one. Voters aren't very enamored with Murkowski either, giving her a 37/53 approval rating.

How can McAdams be so much more popular than Miller yet still be trailing the race? It's because 92% of the small group of voters that does like Miller is planning to vote for him. But only 56% of the voters with a positive opinion of McAdams are intending to cast their ballots for him, while 31% of them are going for Lisa Murkowski.

Continues.
Full results (I've not looked thru yet; will do later today)
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Very dynamic shifts - twice - over the weekend.  7 point lead for Miller is quite a decisive margin.


-- Edited by Sanders on Monday 1st of November 2010 10:28:10 AM