Hillarysworld

I have wondered, as well, about the validity of the predictions of a Dem Smack-Down in Nov. This article from The Moderate Voice provided more convincing than some of the other articles I've seen recently. That said, I wouldn't trust Obama and the DNP not to utilize the kind of extreme and unethical measures we saw in 2008 primaries in order to pull off some unexpected wins. However, we know the Pubs can pull a few tricks of their own, as we've seen in the past. There's a deficit of integrity in both the current parties, as we have witnessed all too clearly.

The right has never been a friend to Hillary. Even when FOX news was behaving with some decency toward her in 2008-when CNN and the other liberal news sources were slamming her with sexist remarks, they were simply exploiting the situation to boost ratings and slam Obama. They cannot and never could be trusted. The far right will continue to slam the Clintons. It's like a sport for them.


Reliable Analyst Sabato Predicts Virtual Political Katrina for Democrats In November

Posted by JOE GANDELMAN, Editor-In-Chief in Politics.
Sep 2nd, 2010

The University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato is one of the most reliable political analysts and forecasters in America. Unlike some popular political pundits who suggest they analyze and forecast (one in particular who I get by email) but are partisan and ideology based, Sabato is a solid political scientist who isn’t issuing forecasts for political reasons. And his latest Crystal Ball entry has grim news for Demcorats: He predicts they face a virtual political Katrina on election day. Some excerpts:
The Crystal Ball’s predictions are clinical. We are fond of people in both parties. We cheer for no one.
2010 was always going to be a Republican year, in the midterm tradition. It has simply been a question of degree. Several scenarios were possible, depending in large measure on whether, or how quickly, the deeply troubled American economy recovered from the Great Recession. Had Democratic hopes on economic revitalization materialized, it is easy to see how the party could have used its superior financial resources, combined with the tendency of Republicans in some districts and states to nominate ideological fringe candidates, to keep losses to the low 30s in the House and a handful in the Senate.
But conditions have deteriorated badly for Democrats over the summer. The economy appears rotten, with little chance of a substantial comeback by November 2nd. Unemployment is very high, income growth sluggish, and public confidence quite low. The Democrats’ self-proclaimed “Recovery Summer” has become a term of derision, and to most voters—fair or not—it seems that President Obama has over-promised and under-delivered.
His forecast: Republicans are posed to take over the House and could well take over the Senate as well.
Obama’s job approval ratings have drifted down well below 50% in most surveys. The generic ballot that asks likely voters whether they will cast ballots for Democrats or Republicans this year has moved increasingly in the GOP direction. While far less important, other controversies such as the mosque debate and immigration policy have made the climate worse for Democrats. Republican voters are raring to vote, their energy fueled by anti-Obama passion and concern over debt, spending, taxes, health care, and the size of government. Democrats are much less enthusiastic by almost every measure, and the Democratic base’s turnout will lag. Plus, Democrats have won over 50 House seats in 2006 and 2008, many of them in Republican territory, so their exposure to any sort of GOP wave is high.
Given what we can see at this moment, Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net. This is a “net” number since the GOP will probably lose several of its own congressional districts in Delaware, Hawaii, and Louisiana. This estimate, which may be raised or lowered by Election Day, is based on a careful district-by-district analysis, plus electoral modeling based on trends in President Obama’s Gallup job approval rating and the Democratic-versus-Republican congressional generic ballot (discussed later in this essay). If anything, we have been conservative in estimating the probable GOP House gains, if the election were being held today.

In the Senate, we now believe the GOP will do a bit better than our long-time prediction of +7 seats. Republicans have an outside shot at winning full control (+10), but are more likely to end up with +8 (or maybe +9, at which point it will be interesting to see how senators such as Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, and others react). (snip)
http://themoderatevoice.com/84818/re...s-in-november/

-- Edited by freespirit on Wednesday 8th of September 2010 08:56:42 AM