For the first time since Barack Obama’s inauguration 16 months ago, we’re beginning to think there’s a reasonable chance he’ll be just a one-term president.
Even though the economy is enjoying a modest recovery, there are three compelling factors that are making us think Obama is in serious trouble in 2012:
He has a tin ear: The Gulf oil spill disaster has highlighted a major Obama flaw – he doesn’t do empathy very well. Cerebral and aloof, Obama spent over an hour in a recent press conference (his first one in 10 months) describing the Gulf crisis in clinical terms, before he discussed his daughter’s plea to cap the well. Bill Clinton could empathize better than any recent president; he felt your pain 24/7. It’s a skill set Obama simply doesn’t have.
Maybe this is because Bill Clinton actually does care about people whereas Obama does not? Empathy isn't a "skill set" like delivering a speech or negotitating with opposing factions. You either feel it, or you don't.
The press has turned: So much for the press being in bed with Obama. Reporters are furiously digging for more evidence of lax oversight of the oil industry in the revolving door climate in which regulators get hired by Big Oil. The media refuses to believe that an economic recovery is underway, and seems to be rooting for a good story to boost ratings and circulation – and what better story than the endangered incumbents? Reporters clearly adored Obama during the 2008 campaign, but the bloom is off the rose.
FINALLY!!!!
This next one is a goodie:
The Electoral College map has shifted dramatically: This is the Big One. Precise state electoral totals won’t be available until the census is completed, but here’s our rough math — John McCain won 173 electoral votes in 2008, but we see several states Obama carried that are likely to shift back to the GOP: Indiana (11), Ohio (20), Virginia (13), North Carolina (15), Florida (27) and Colorado (9). That gets the Republicans to 268, just three votes short of winning.
This means several other states could make the difference: New Hampshire (4), Illinois (21), Pennsylvania (21), Michigan (17), New Mexico (5), and Nevada (5). It’s entirely possible that Obama would have to win every one of them; there may be no margin of error.
Notice how many of these are states that went for Hillary in the 2008 primaries.
And it appears that there’s no Ronald Reagan waiting in the wings for the GOP. The early favorite is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who won passage of a health reform bill in the Bay State that looks very similar to the federal measure enacted this spring. Conservative activists have always suspected that Romney doesn’t stand for much, and if he’s the nominee, the Tea Party could take a hike.
But if the Republicans find a fresh face who can appeal to all wings of the party – Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty comes to mind – Obama could have a real fight on his hands.
Aw, come on! Sarah Palin probably has more bots than Obama does at this point. And as we discussed in another thread, Bobby Jindal is making a good impression in handling the oil spill crisis.
The era of activism is about to come to an end, and the counter-revolution has begun. Obama will either go the way of Jimmy Carter – who served one disastrous, tone-deaf term – or Bill Clinton, who survived largely because he proclaimed that “the era of big government is over.”
The choice is Obama’s, but we increasingly wonder if this professorial president has the street smarts to survive.
No mention of Hillary in this article, but ain't it funny how they keep bringing up Bill?
This article made my day - and from CNBC, no less!!
I hope he's right about MSM having gotten out of bed with O. I didn't know anything about the author, and checked him out, just in case he was a right winger trying to do a little spinning. Turns out he's non-partisan (or so everything I read about him indicated). So, hopefully, he's being objective - and RIGHT! lol
Thanks for posting this little jewel, Jen. Loved it.
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It was we, the people; not we, the white male citizens; nor yet we, the male citizens; but we, the whole people, who formed the Union.... Men, their rights and nothing more; women, their rights and nothing less. ~Susan B. Anthony