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TOPIC: CNN Poll: Obama tied in hypothetical 2012 matchup (CNN 3/26/10)


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CNN Poll: Obama tied in hypothetical 2012 matchup (CNN 3/26/10)
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http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/03/26/cnn-poll-obama-tied-in-hypothetical-2012-matchup/?fbid=hJQVK25cALS

The public is split right down the middle on whether President Barack Obama should be re-elected and a majority of Americans predict he will be a one-term president, according to a new national poll.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Thursday indicates that if the 2012 presidential election were held today, 47 percent of registered voters would back Obama, with an equal amount supporting an unnamed Republican challenger. Fifty-four percent of people questioned say Obama will lose if he runs for re-election in 2012, with 44 percent saying the president would win a second term.


I thought y'all might enjoy a little good news. After all, if the majority of Americans believe 0 will be a one-term president, then that can very well become a self-fulfilling prophesy. Or something like that.

But here's the bad news:

More than three out of four Democrats questioned say they want Obama re-nominated in 2012. Back in 1994 only 57 percent of Democrats said they wanted Clinton renominated.

"Historically speaking, support from Democrats is crucial to Obama's re-election chances - not just in the primaries, but in the general election as well," adds Holland. "No incumbent facing a significant challenger in his party's primaries has gone on to win re election; some political junkies believe that a primary fight would guarantee an Obama loss in 2012. But support from three quarters of all Democrats may help Obama scare off any serious challenger in 2012, significantly helping his chances in the general election."


Now for the demographics:

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted March 19-21, with 1,030 adult Americans, including 531 Republicans and independents who lean Republican, and 448 Democrats and independents who Democratic, questioned by telephone. The poll's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

Right now as I am typing this, I am listening to "No Thugs In Our House" by XTC. An appropriate song, don'tcha think?



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Well good news and bad news is better than bad news and more bad news, as we had to deal with in 2008. Thanks for posting this, Jen. And, I do think the song is very appropriate. lol.



-- Edited by freespirit on Tuesday 30th of March 2010 01:40:24 AM

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I've always thought he'd be a one-termer, that he just "won" because of the DNC and their shills in the MSM. I still wonder, and I probably always will, how things would've been different if Hillary Clinton had been elected, or even John McCain for that matter. And this is a CNN poll to boot, probably still has pro-Obama bias. And your song was appropriate for sure.no

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