" Murtha's immediate successor to be decided May 18
Posted: Feb 17, 2010 05:28 PM; Updated: Feb 17, 2010 06:28 PM
HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) - The special election to fill the term of the late U.S. Rep. John Murtha will be held on Pennsylvania's primary election day, May 18.
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That means there will be two elections involving Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district on primary day.
One will decide the Republican and Democratic nominees to run in the general election in November. The other will fill the remainder of Murtha's term, which ends in January
Meanwhile, here is an interesting twist with the upcoming census and redistricting..
Posted on Thu, Feb. 18, 2010
"
Murtha House seat likely to disappear
By Thomas Fitzgerald
Inquirer Staff Writer
The candidate who succeeds the late Rep. John P. Murtha (D., Pa.) in a special election this spring might not want to buy a home in Washington.
That's because demographers estimate that Pennsylvania will lose at least one seat in the decennial reapportionment of House seats among the states after the 2010 Census - and some political analysts believe the 12th District would be an easy target for state lawmakers reshuffling boundaries before the 2012 elections.
Murtha's district, which looks somewhat like a crustacean spread over parts of nine counties, was itself gerrymandered into existence to save his job a decade ago, after the Census determined that Pennsylvania would lose two representatives because of sluggish population growth relative to other states.
Even Republicans - who then controlled the state House, Senate, and governor's office - did not want to lose Murtha or the billions of dollars he steered to Pennsylvania as chairman of the House Appropriations subcommittee in charge of defense spending.
Murtha, who died at 77 of complications from gallbladder surgery, was buried Tuesday in Johnstown.
"The district will have two things going against it: One, it's going to have the most junior member in the state delegation, and two, it's easy to cut up," said Philadelphia political consultant Larry Ceisler, who was an expert witness in the lawsuit that Democrats filed in 2002 to challenge the fairness of the overall redistricting plan.
A state's congressional representation helps determine its national clout, so redistricting can inspire epic fights.
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Pennsylvania is expected to lose a seat, dropping from 19 House members to 18, because 2009 Census estimates showed that its population grew more slowly than other states'.
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Ohio is expected to lose two seats, with New Jersey, New York, Michigan, Massachusetts, Iowa, Illinois, and Louisiana considered possibilities to lose one seat.
New Jersey would drop from 13 House members to 12 if the estimates prove accurate. Ten years ago, the state stayed even, but in 1992 it went from 14 districts to 13. Two Democratic-held districts were merged into one, and one of the representatives retired.
Texas could gain as many as three seats, and Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah, and Washington would gain one new seat each if projections hold. Although many of those states lost population in last year's estimates or stayed level because of the recession, gains from earlier in the decade will boost them in reapportionment.