Little has changed this month in Missouri's race for the seat being vacated by retiring Republican Senator Kit Bond.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state shows Republican Roy Blunt leading Democrat Robin Carnahan 49% to 42%. Just three percent (3%) of Missouri voters would opt for some other candidate, while six percent (6%) are undecided at this point.
In January, Blunt held a 49% to 43% lead over Carnahan, who is currently Missouri's secretary of state. That survey marked a shift in Blunt’s favor from a poll conducted in December, when Carnahan held a modest two-point lead. In September, both candidates were at 46%.
Men in Missouri heavily favor Blunt, while women are evenly divided between the candidates. Voters not affiliated with either party prefer Blunt by a two-to-one margin, 55% to 27%.
Last month just after upset GOP Senate win in Massachusetts, political analyst Larry Sabato rated the Missouri Senate race as a toss-up but said, given the current political climate, Blunt would be the winner if the election were held at that time.
The two candidates, both members of prominent Missouri political families, are the front-runners for their parties’ nominations. Both parties will pick their candidates in August 3 primaries.