I hate to be a (Democratic) party pooper, but here’s the next piece of bad news. Guess who’s not coming out to vote? White women. The enthusiasm among all women is down, but Gallup shows that white women are the least enthusiastic of all the major demographic groups.
Pundits, including most recently Politico, are baffled by the distaff disaffection: “But polls offer few answers to why women haven’t responded to the economic downturn and the rise of the conservative grassroots by bringing the kind of energy to Democratic campaigns that they did in 2008 and that conservative men are exhibiting this year.”
It’s the independent women (21 percent!) and the Democratic women (24 percent) who aren’t revved up about the coming midterms.
That's me! I do like our GOP gubernatorial candidate Rick Snyder, but for Congress I don't like either of the candidates and will probably vote for a 3rd party candidate.
Exclusive data prepared at The Daily Beast’s request sheds some light. Gallup conducted its regular weekly survey of 1,750 adults (1,500 registered voters)—then, for the period between August 1 and September 22, ran the data controlling for race and gender. The result: A dismal 27 percent of white female registered voters expressed excitement about the contest, compared to 36 percent of black men and women and 40 percent of white men. It is fair to say that the white women’s numbers are not depressed by indifference among the almost entirely white Republican women. At least in June, Gallup was finding that the Republican women were the most enthusiastic of the registered female voters. It’s the independent women (21 percent!) and the Democratic women (24 percent) who aren’t revved up about the coming midterms.
Now for some fun!
Remember the PUMAs, whose motto was Party Unity My Ass? They were the supposedly angry white women (the horror) so pissed off by Hillary Clinton’s defeat they were going elect John McCain? The PUMAs were sort of lost in the pixie dust storm of the Obama election. I wonder if we declared them an endangered species too soon? There were glimpses that all might not be well with white women in the exit polls even then. Turnout was up in 2008, but white women as a percentage of the electorate shrank a couple of points. The percentage of white men stayed the same, and nonwhites, both men and women, voted in larger percentages in 2008 than 2004. White women vote Republican, just like white men do, but they did give Obama the benefit of the traditional gender gap, supporting him more than the white men did. They didn’t like him nearly as well as they had liked Al Gore, though.
In her indispensable new book about women and the 2008 election, Big Girls Don’t Cry, Rebecca Traister outed me as having a WWHD (What Would Hillary Do) bracelet, which I take out when the White House agrees to exclude women’s abortions from the new high-risk health-care pools or when Michelle Obama takes her Givenchy outfits to the Costa Brava for a little mid-recession respite from gardening. So I cannot help thinking that there are a lot of other women who responsibly voted for the Democrat hoping for the best but who were not firmly attached to the whole undertaking.
Well, who needs white women anyway? They haven’t broken Democratic in years. A big piece of the “gender gap” for the Democrats is because the category “women voters” is more nonwhite than the men are, and nonwhites vote heavily Democratic. So the gender gap is partly a race/gender gap. The rest of the gender gap is due to white men’s robust fealty to the Republican Party. Although white women do not vote Republican in such large numbers as men do, in 2008 Barack Obama would have won the popular vote, even if the white women had voted exactly the same as their white male counterparts. He held his losses with the pale males to 41 percent, and the huge majorities among nonwhite voters did the rest.
It was we, the people; not we, the white male citizens; nor yet we, the male citizens; but we, the whole people, who formed the Union.... Men, their rights and nothing more; women, their rights and nothing less. ~Susan B. Anthony
Some of the comments are over the top. I like where one person is saying it will be worse if the Republicans come to power and "those PUMAs need to understand that". We did. and we predicted if Obama won we'd have a Republican landslide in the next Congressional elections. And we were right.
If the party loyals had any sense, they would STOP telling Pumas what we need to do. It didn't work when they told us to "get over it" after Obama was awarded the nomination won by Hillary, and it won't work now. But, why should they care what we do or whom we support. The party has a "new base", at least according to Donna Brazille. The Dems need to depend on these Obamakids, as part of the new base, to help the party win - well, that is if the kids were still excited as Obama. Unfortunately, fad Obama has played out, and the kids have moved on to more fun and exciting pursuits. Without us PUMAs, looks like the party may be SOL come November.
Message to Donna: Got base? lol
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It was we, the people; not we, the white male citizens; nor yet we, the male citizens; but we, the whole people, who formed the Union.... Men, their rights and nothing more; women, their rights and nothing less. ~Susan B. Anthony
It's been more than two years. We're still here. We still remember. We're still pissed off. We still want Hillary to be our President. Obama still hasn't won us over. It just ain't gonna happen.