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Hillarysworld -> We Told You So The Kool Aid Recovery Forum -> Latest Gallup poll: Barack Obama will need a miracle to avoid Jimmy Carter's fate (UK Telegraph 9/04/10)
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TOPIC: Latest Gallup poll: Barack Obama will need a miracle to avoid Jimmy Carter's fate (UK Telegraph 9/04/10)
Jen the Michigander


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Latest Gallup poll: Barack Obama will need a miracle to avoid Jimmy Carter's fate (UK Telegraph 9/04/10)
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http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/nilegardiner/100052325/barack-obama-will-need-a-miracle-to-avoid-becoming-a-lame-duck-president/

This week’s historic Gallup poll will have sent a shiver through the White House at the end of a summer of discontent, and is yet another key indicator that President Obama is likely to end up a lame duck president following the mid-term elections in November. The latest Gallup poll shows the Republicans in pole position to retake the House of Representatives, with other surveys suggesting the GOP will make big gains in the Senate as well, a scenario which would have been unthinkable at the start of the year.
The USA Today/Gallup survey shows Republicans leading the Democrats among registered voters by 51 percent to 41 percent, the largest lead for the GOP “in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic ballot in Congress”, which dates back all the way to 1942, when FDR was president. According to Gallup, Republicans are now twice as likely as Democrats to be “very” enthusiastic about voting. While cautioning that “change is possible between now and election day”, Gallup sees strong potential for sweeping Republican gains and the retaking of the House:

The last Gallup weekly generic ballot average before Labor Day underscores the fast-evolving conventional wisdom that the GOP is poised to make significant gains in this fall’s midterm congressional elections. Gallup’s generic ballot has historically proven an excellent predictor of the national vote for Congress, and the national vote in turn is an excellent predictor of House seats won and lost. Republicans’ presumed turnout advantage, combined with their current 10-point registered-voter lead, suggests the potential for a major “wave” election in which the Republicans gain a large number of seats from the Democrats and in the process take back control of the House.

Could the Republicans win the Senate, causing a major upset? Judging by these polls that is now a distinct possibility, and would be nothing short of a political earthquake that may herald the defeat of President Obama himself in 2012.

Only a miracle can reverse the fortunes of the Obama presidency in the lead-up to the mid-terms, and Barack Obama has been notably short of miracles since taking office, whether political or economic. The good fortune which he possessed when winning the presidency has all but evaporated, replaced by mounting opposition to both his policies and left-wing ideology. According to Rasmussen, just 29 percent of likely voters now believe the country is heading in the right direction, a damning indictment of President Obama’s leadership of the country.

For a “transformational” president, this is devastating. Without the House of Representatives to rubber stamp his Big Government agenda, and the Senate in a likely stalemate, it will be impossible for Barack Obama to force legislation through in the final two years of his presidency. He will also be under immense pressure to cut the budget deficit and reduce government spending, as well as reverse his plans on health care reform, all of which go completely against his instincts. Bill Clinton, a far more skilful and pragmatic politician in many respects, survived the 1994 Democrat meltdown by moving to the center and working with the Right on some issues, a prospect that President Obama would find unpalatable.

The Obama presidency is facing meltdown, and according to the polls is likely to be greatly weakened from November onwards, throwing a major spanner in the works of the ambitious Obama agenda to remake America. A conservative revolution is heading its way to Washington on a wave of anti-government sentiment, and looks unstoppable. Like Jimmy Carter before him, President Obama has succeeded in revitalising conservatism in the United States, and reawakening a sleeping giant. When Barack Obama spoke in his election campaign of bringing “change” to America, I doubt this is quite what he had in mind.

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Sanders


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If Dems reciprocate the noncooperative stance of Repubs from the last two years, we will have nothing accomplished in the next two years.

Honestly, Pres.Obama's policy stance has been a curious mixture of far left and far right policies.  The only place he has compromised is women's health and right of choice in its practical implication in the Health care reform - that was a terrible place to make that compromise in that executive order. 

I sincerely hope Hillary will be the next POTUS. It is necessary at this stage.


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freespirit


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Great article, Jen.

You have to wonder if the Dems failed to see this car (to use Obama's metaphor) wreck coming, and lacked the skill and political savvy to avoid it. As Sander's pointed out, O's WH has gone to the right and to the left. In going left he really has pissed-off his base (well, some of them). With most of the country being moderate, what did Dean, Pelosi, and Kennedy think would happen when they thwarted democracy, and installed him? This country has never tolerated, for long, a potus from the far left.

I'm glad that Americans are increasingly willing to recognize and admit the truth about Obama, rather than being intimidated into stifling their concerns under threat of being labeled 'racist". Of course these accusations continue from the Obama faithful about anyone who disagrees with The One, but this tactic is no longer having the desired impact.

Honestly, I still don't necessarily believe it will take a miracle to put O back into the oval - not unless you consider ACORN and other pro-Obama groups, unfettered by such conventions as honesty, decency, and ethical behavior, to be miracles. I have strong concerns that the progs have a trick or two up their sleeves. 2008 was bad. My fear is that 2012 may break that record for sleazy, dishonest, undemocratic politics.

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jdona


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The last thing we need is another Republican president, and we also don't need or deserve the Obama/Reid/Pelosi presidency. I fear the Republicans have not learned a thing about the moderate independent majorities of this country, and they will nominate a Huckabee far right zealot that I won't be able to vote for. That leaves me not voting at all. And probably a whole lot of others won't be able to stomach voting for the Republicans.

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freespirit


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jdona wrote:

The last thing we need is another Republican president, and we also don't need or deserve the Obama/Reid/Pelosi presidency. I fear the Republicans have not learned a thing about the moderate independent majorities of this country, and they will nominate a Huckabee far right zealot that I won't be able to vote for. That leaves me not voting at all. And probably a whole lot of others won't be able to stomach voting for the Republicans.



Jdona, I will be right there with you - not voting.  I know exactly what you mean.



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Amy Dugan


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Sanders wrote:

If Dems reciprocate the noncooperative stance of Repubs from the last two years, we will have nothing accomplished in the next two years.

Honestly, Pres.Obama's policy stance has been a curious mixture of far left and far right policies.  The only place he has compromised is women's health and right of choice in its practical implication in the Health care reform - that was a terrible place to make that compromise in that executive order. 

I sincerely hope Hillary will be the next POTUS. It is necessary at this stage.


agree mix of far right (gitmo war on terror) and not acting on DADT  no private optionand left on other stuff

so he has pissed off right and left

 



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Amy Dugan
reddirtgirl


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jdona wrote:

The last thing we need is another Republican president, and we also don't need or deserve the Obama/Reid/Pelosi presidency. I fear the Republicans have not learned a thing about the moderate independent majorities of this country, and they will nominate a Huckabee far right zealot that I won't be able to vote for. That leaves me not voting at all. And probably a whole lot of others won't be able to stomach voting for the Republicans.


I honestly don't care WHO the Pubs nominate. If idiot runs in '12, I'll vote against him no matter who it is.  Not voting is not an option for me.

 



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freespirit


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I respect your position, rdgirl. Obviously, each of us will bring different views and reasons for them to the process. I knew in 2008, that I couldn't go farther to the right than McCain. Under no circumstances will I vote for Obama, but I do see refraining from voting for the top of the ticket to be a valid form of protest - if it comes to that.

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It was we, the people; not we, the white male citizens; nor yet we, the male citizens; but we, the whole people, who formed the Union.... Men, their rights and nothing more; women, their rights and nothing less.  ~Susan B. Anthony
jdona


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I worry that the Republicans will gain control of the house in November, and make a lot of gains in the Senate. If we end up with a Republican congress and a Republican president, we are more screwed than we were with Bush in office. I won't vote for Obama, and I doubt I will vote for the Republican, but again, it depends on who they nominate. I am so tired of having to choose the lesser of two evils instead of voting for a great statesmen. Maybe its time we start to look at who is running for the Republicans and finding out what they are all about. I know in Virginia you can vote in both primaries, I have voted against a Republican that I didn't like thinking it was better to try and defeat him in the primaries versus the general election. If other states are the same way, maybe we can make some kind of impact that way.

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Sanders


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freespirit wrote:

I respect your position, rdgirl. Obviously, each of us will bring different views and reasons for them to the process. I knew in 2008, that I couldn't go farther to the right than McCain. Under no circumstances will I vote for Obama, but I do see refraining from voting for the top of the ticket to be a valid form of protest - if it comes to that.

Likewise. It was a hard sell to vote for Mc-P combo - I had to convince myself that SP would govern according to the wish and will of the people... but that has really faded lately with all the ultra conservatism that we are hearing in her statements. No way to Huckabee.  Romney? Well, I have to hold my nose to vote for him 'coz I think he is really off on women's issues.  I would certainly vote for Scott Brown.

I just read this

President Obama is unlikely to face a Democratic foe in 2012 primary
Plouffe is not being asked the correct question

Perhaps the time has come to ask Plouffe if Obama might cooperate if Hillary runs!

I hope the DNP is not blind and deaf to what is happening in the country.



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Democracy needs defending - SOS Hillary Clinton, Sept 8, 2010
Democracy is more than just elections - SOS Hillary Clinton, Oct 28, 2010

Madam Secretary Blog at ForeignPolicy.com
Project Vote Smart - Stay informed and engaged!
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