Hillarysworld

Members Login
Username 
 
Password 
    Remember Me  
Hillarysworld -> Hillary 2012 -> Watch the Obama reelect numbers- Mark Penn (Politico 7/18/10)
Post Info
TOPIC: Watch the Obama reelect numbers- Mark Penn (Politico 7/18/10)
Jen the Michigander


SuperModerator

Status: Offline
Posts: 1788
Date:
Watch the Obama reelect numbers- Mark Penn (Politico 7/18/10)
Permalink  
 

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/39852.html

By far, the most alarming numbers this poll presents for President Barack Obama are the reelection figures; against a generic Republican candidate, he loses by 5 points, 37-42. In general, when an incumbent’s reelect numbers fall below 50 percent, it’s a sign of trouble to come — and Obama’s inability to break even 40 percent may be the most telling indicator to come out of these data.

Americans like Obama — despite nearly 10 percent unemployment and two ongoing wars, his 49 percent favorable rating remains much stronger than some of the low points hit by Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. But what is surprising is the 11-point gulf between his favorable (48 percent) and reelect ratings. This suggests a lot of voters are saying, “I like him personally” but not “I would vote for him again.”

Or else they're white people who are afraid of being called racists or black people who are afraid of being labelled self-loathing. Just sayin'.

And this is the heart of the issue — Obama is managing one legislative victory after another, yet his poll numbers keep sinking everywhere except with D.C. elites. He is now the D.C. outsider president whose strongest ratings are with D.C. insiders — they respect the bills he has gotten passed. But outside the Beltway, Obama suffers from the perception that he lacks the strength and leadership to deal with our biggest problems — unemployment, deficits and the two wars. And many believe he has moved to the left, abandoning the center to embrace a return to Big Government.

Some good news for the administration is that Obama is beating any of the real-world Republicans out there right now. His strongest showing is against Sarah Palin; in a head-to-head match, he gets 48 percent, driven by a strong vote from women. Palin is the kind of highly polarizing figure that people accused Hillary Clinton of being — only Palin is truly polarizing. Her nomination would probably doom the Republican Party and might even give rise to third-party candidates. She has a following that fuels her speeches and books but not a broad constituency.



__________________

4145952823_2e0edce16f.jpg

Nobody puts THIS baby in the corner!
freespirit


Moderator

Status: Offline
Posts: 1695
Date:
Permalink  
 

Interesting, Jen. Several weeks ago, I heard a political analyst make the same observation about the perception of Beltway insiders that Obama is a huge success in terms of legislation passed, and as a potus, in general - while in other areas of the country approval is low. People don't have jobs. Obama is consistently slow to respond in times of crisis. There are still two wars. He's a racist who allows domestic terrorists like the New Black Panthers to keep voters from polls.

That last one was mine, actually. Anyway, the analysis was the same.

The numbers are interesting, aren't they? I think you're right, Jen. People won't say they don't like him for fear of being called racist.

__________________
It was we, the people; not we, the white male citizens; nor yet we, the male citizens; but we, the whole people, who formed the Union.... Men, their rights and nothing more; women, their rights and nothing less.  ~Susan B. Anthony
Page 1 of 1  sorted by
 
Quick Reply

Please log in to post quick replies.
Hillarysworld -> Hillary 2012 -> Watch the Obama reelect numbers- Mark Penn (Politico 7/18/10)
Tweet this page Post to Digg Post to Del.icio.us


Create your own FREE Forum
Report Abuse 		Powered by ActiveBoard