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TOPIC: The Next Two Years (The Moderate Voice) 07-11-10. Let the spinning begin!


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The Next Two Years (The Moderate Voice) 07-11-10. Let the spinning begin!
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And so it begins.  This article from The Moderate Voice points out how little Obama will be able to accomplish once the Pubs win the House and possibly, the Senate. Initiatives and reforms planned by the WH will be blocked by a Republican led congress that will fight Obama's attempts to pass legislation to accomplish his goals (or so will be the excuse).

Yesterday I heard a comment on TV news (I don't even know what network or the name of the "expert" talking - was literally just walking through the room where others were watching TV) referring to the upcoming expected Republican losses.  The political analysist said that, while no one will say it aloud, the DNP and especially the WH are counting on these losses to help put Obama back into office in 2012.  A Pub led congress will make it possible for O to use the old  "It's not me, it's them" excuse for why he has been able to fulfill campaign promises and to accomplish the reforms he had hoped to accomplish. 

Opinions on The Moderate Voice often seem to be those of Obama apologists, IMO.  Maybe they're starting the spin to save O's WH a little early.

The Next Two Years
Posted by MARC PASCAL
Jul 12th, 2010

If Republicans take control over the U.S. House, and possibly the entire U.S. Congress (Senate included) this November, what will likely occur over the next two years politically and economically in the Nation? Based upon the prior performances of Republicans during the past dozen years and the stated policy positions over last two years of the GOP and the Obama Administration, next to nothing is to be expected from Washington DC.

The Supreme Court may add some of its own excitement during the next two years. It will likely dismiss Federal challenges to the Arizona anti-immigration law. Federalism will be enshrined as the new force in America – let every state, county, city, citizen, wealthy corporation, and nut group do as it wishes. Any future vacancy in the High Court during the next two years will go unfilled as a more conservative Senate will not likely approve any Obama nominee.

The Supremes will probably strike down parts of the 2009 healthcare legislation that compel all citizens to purchase private health insurance. This will gut a good part of ObamaCare, making any future Congressional vote to repeal rather moot. The Supreme Court would likely permit any state, such as Massachusetts or California to require such universal purchases under their reserved powers to regulate all types of Insurance, but a Federal mandate would exceed its very conservative view of the U.S. Constitution. During the next two years, due to massive fiscal constraints, no U.S. State will attempt any healthcare reforms on its own. Medicare, Medicaid and Private Health Insurance Costs will escalate to new extremes during the next two years.

With a noticeable number of new ultra-conservatives, libertarians, and extreme anti-government, anti-tax and anti-compromise members as part of the next Republican Congressional majority, President Obama will be facing stark opposition to everything he has proposed or might propose. He’ll be lucky to have any new administrative or judicial appointments approved. An unprecedented number of Administration positions that require Senate approval have yet to gain approval. Those positions will likely go empty for the next two years – a victory for those who hate all public sector employees. The Obama Administration will limp along with only half of the wholly incompetent administrators the Bush Administration had for 8 years.

Upon what national policies could Majority Republicans and the Obama Administration agree? There will be no financial or banking reforms, no public election financing or disclosure legislation, no environmental or immigration reforms, no new energy or education initiatives, no unemployment extensions, and no federal financial assistance to the 50 states. Absolutely no new legislation will be proposed or enacted during the next two years. Too bad the rest of the world will move on, the needs of Americans will mount, and the movement of the earth around the sun, will all continue for the next two years.


snip.
http://themoderatevoice.com/79302/the-next-two-years/


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So much for HOPE AND CHANGE.

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Americans are fed up with both extremes of our two-party system.  Two years is a long time.  Long enough for Scott Brown to prove himself as a moderate who works with both sides of the aisle.

Don't kid yourselves for a second....the Repubs are going to spring him into the 2012 race if Obama's poll numbers are still in the toilet.

Because as we learned from 2008, it is not about the candidate the people want...it is about the candidate the party wants....the Repubs will want to win and he will be their best shot.

Any Dem outcry that he isn't experienced has been rendered moot by our current POTUS.

I would bet on this one.  Brown will get the party backing because they will want to win at any cost...even idealogy.

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VotedHillary wrote:

Americans are fed up with both extremes of our two-party system.  Two years is a long time.  Long enough for Scott Brown to prove himself as a moderate who works with both sides of the aisle.

Don't kid yourselves for a second....the Repubs are going to spring him into the 2012 race if Obama's poll numbers are still in the toilet.

Because as we learned from 2008, it is not about the candidate the people want...it is about the candidate the party wants....the Repubs will want to win and he will be their best shot.

Any Dem outcry that he isn't experienced has been rendered moot by our current POTUS.

I would bet on this one.  Brown will get the party backing because they will want to win at any cost...even idealogy.


I agree with you 100%. I saw that coming the week before his win in MA.  And, he has the savvy and the interpersonal and communication skills to get there.

One big thing that I used to credit pre-candidate and candidate Obama for is that in interviews he does not run into pot holes. Well, Scott Brown is the same way and is even better. He aces interviews especially when he comes on air on spot interviews. He aces those.

He even has all including me convinced that he is a social moderate and fiscal conservative and that is indeed a winning combo for most moderate votes.  Yes, Repubs will want to win, and Scott Brown is indeed their best choice for winning.   Very likely to happen.



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The Party may want Scott Brown but the Republican Party doesn't have Superdelegates and they have mostly winner take all.
The Party wanted John McCain but of course he didn't win.  The Conservatives tought the pubs a lesson.  The GOP candidate will be either Huckleberry or Palin.
I also do not think Obama is going to run.  I will watch MO on this one.  Black men are sexist as hell but you best believe one thing.  Its the Black women who decide things like that.  Does anyone remember when MO said "This is the last time he will run if he doesn't win this year he won't run again."  She said that because most black men do not want to put that kind of stress on his wife.
Colin Powell didn't run in 1996 for the same reason.  If MO says "NO" then so will Barack.  Don't tell me "he's sexist" that means nothing.  MO says no then so does he.
Why would she tell him no?  We may not like him but we can all admit he gets a lot of death threats that's what is going to make MO a mother of two young children say NO
There is also a possibilty that a deal was made in 2008 between Obama and Clinton(Bill) that Obama run for one term only.  The media was trying to push that idea on Hillary at one point.  I have a feeling that a deal was worked out right before the GE.  Bill would campaign for him and he would give up his second term.
The Pubs will throw their best at him but a Hillary ticket will be hard to beat.  A Brown could never win because he is to far to the left.  Moderate Pubs have a more difficult time.  The GOP is going to want that Conservative base they won't have it with Brown or Snowe or any other moderate.  
here are many sceneros that will play out but this article was wrong.  Ronald Reagan won a second term because he and Tip Oneal got things done despite party politics.  Bill Clinton became one hell of a President after the Pubs took over not because he blamed them he was able to work and get things like Welfare Reform through despite the majority.

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VH, I just read something interesting on Newsweek


The New McCain

Freshman Sen. Scott Brown has the rare ability to actually be bipartisan. And get away with it.

Excerpt:

Late last month, just days before Congress left for its July 4 recess, Brown’s staff got the surprise most members can only dream of. A Boston Globe poll revealed Brown had become the most popular elected official in all of Massachusetts. At 55 percent favorability, he slightly outpolled Kerry (52 percent) and even Obama (54 percent). Top advisers were surprised, in a good way. The senator, they knew, doesn’t care much about national attention. But considering the independent-minded politics that nearly landed McCain in the Oval Office, it’s impossible not to entertain the possibilities.

-----
That is quite an article in favor of Scott Brown!

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Democracy needs defending - SOS Hillary Clinton, Sept 8, 2010
Democracy is more than just elections - SOS Hillary Clinton, Oct 28, 2010

Madam Secretary Blog at ForeignPolicy.com
Project Vote Smart - Stay informed and engaged!
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